Sports Trading UK
BTTS Intermediate Guide
Okay if you have not read the beginners guide then please do. I have explained the set up on there and do not want to repeat myself.
The Combi Trade
So quite often you may want to partially cover the btts no and or the 4.5. That is what a combi trade is.
Setup
You simply place the target scores the same way and then you add you cover bets. To help you with this I have developed a pre game calculator that gives you all your options to play about with before you decide.
Steves Tip – Remember that you will most likely have to add something to the draw in play so always take this in to account. To help you I have included a tool in the calculator.
Example
We have the normal £20 dutched on our targets and the 1-1 / 2-2 giving £45 profit on a target and £7 profit on 1-1 / 2-2. We decide we want £10 cover on both the BTTS no and the 4.5. We simply lay £10 on BTTS yes and £10 on under 4.5 goals.
Video example one – Using the calculator to work out pre match cover bets
In Play Options
Ok now it’s time to get to the meat of things and examine you’re in play options and how you can manage the trade as we go along. I am going to start with the simple options and the best time to use them, but you can use any method on any trade.
BTTS High early goal BTTS cover
On an early goal you should always get into the habit of checking the BTTS price. You can often get it a stupidly low price after a goal; this can give us valuable cover. My advice would be to not cover the whole risk as you still want to leave a good profit on a target score.
Video example two – The BTTS Cover
Ignore my maths I was on one at the time. The important thing is that it shows with correct use the BTTS can be used to get cover in play.
BTTS Low No early goal 4.5 Cover.
So it stands to reason that the longer the game goes on without a goal to more the price of under 4.5 goals will drop. On games where I do not have 4.5 cover or only partial 4.5 cover I make a plan on what I am going to do about it. I don’t always take the option but I always have a plan. My favoured plan is to drip lay the 4.5 goals. I simply work out what I want to risk on it and what cover I want.
Example
On this example I dripped in at 1.20, 1.10 and finally 1.06 to give me my £30 cover
Draw Options after a goal 1 – Do not use full cover
Ok so you have the first goal and your trade is under way. It might surprise you to hear that I do not always top up the draw to its full profit. This is because I am sure in the fact that I can scalp the draw if needs be. The way the new setup works you will not have to put much on the draw anyway.
As you can see on this example I have just backed the draw to scratch out my CS risk. The reasoning behind this was that the equaliser went in before I had chance to back the draw but I am quite confident that I can scalp enough on the draw to make a nice profit. Now If I was using the new set up and had at least a scratch on the 1-1 / 2-2 I would have still placed the draw bet but probably for £5 to £6.
Steve’s Tip 1 – Always top up the draw enough so that it covers all your cover bets and leaves at least a scratch. This will put you in a good position for scalping.
Steve’s Tip 2 – Only consider this option if you are okay with scalping.
The Inplay Calculator
Ok so I have put the 3 main cover options that you have above and the best time to use them However you can use cover at any time you want. This can often get confusing to know where you are. With that in mind I have developed a tool to help you. This tool will develop as I have lots of ideas for it, but the beta is ready to be used on the website.
Video example three – The In Play Calculator
Introducing the Scalp
So for the intermediate section of this I only want you to think about scalping two markets, the draw and the correct score. In the advanced section I will introduce the other scalps we use.
Go back to the time decay document and read up on the late sub as we can use it,
Using the Late Sub
Ok so the game is after 70 minutes is, 1-1 and you have the 2-1, 3-1, 1-2 and 1-3. It is now time to scalp; you have a good green on the next score and cover on the next two. My advice would be to use no more than half your stake but it all depends on now aggressive you are. I quite often use my full stake as I am in and out of the market. From experience we know it will drop quickly, the idea is to get in and then get out and leave a good profit on the next score. Of course once you get a good profit on the draw then you can green. This is an example of safe scalping that I will talk of more in the time decay Academy.
Video Example Four – The Late Sub
Using the Draw
Once you get into a 1-1 position you can start to scalp the draw. Personally I like to wait until later when I know the draw will drop quickly but you can scalp it anytime you want to. You are covered on the next 2 BTTS markets so even if caught it is not all that bad. The trick here is not to scalp the draw with anymore then you have on the target scores, that way id caught you do not have to red up.
Video Example Five – The Late Draw Scalp
Coming soon
Using the Draw Early
I can always remember going back a few years we used to use the draw scalp a lot these days it is just not as effective. However for the sake of completeness I will talk about it. In a BTTS score trade you can actually still scalp the draw even if you get caught you still have the draw on your side. Let’s say you are caught and then it goes back to 1-1 you will have a tasty green on the draw that you can take or leave. If caught you can very cheaply lay on the BTTS as described earlier.
Steve’s Tip 3 – Never scalp more on the draw than what you have on a target scores.
Steve’s Tip 4 – Use the inplay calculator if caught and update you figures if caught. This will help you decide on cover options
Video Example Six – Early Draw Scalp
Lay the Draw
I was going to put this into the scalping section but it has its place here as we want to cover the draw. From the above video you can see the draw takes a while to get going, in fact in a lot of games it does not move a jot for the first five mins, even if it does it will not move much. So what we can do is lay the draw, if it works then great you can leave all the profit on the draw. If it doesn’t then you can either red the trade up or leave a scratch on the draw and the loss on the home / away.
Steve’s Tip 5 – I actually don’t mind leaving the red on the draw as I am confident I can scalp it back into green. However my tip would be to red it up at this stage.
Video Example Seven
So this is a video a lot of you will have seen before but if I was using this on the BTTS I would not have greened it up, I would have left it all on the draw. So using that we would have had £50 free on the draw, not bad on a low risk trade,
Steve’s Tip 6 – Set you max loss, if its 2-3 ticks then its fine. You may decide to stay in a bit longer if the match warrants it but do not stay in a market that is coming down quickly. On markets that are moving quickly for this trade you are far better of scalping the draw.
Final Thoughts
This is pretty much all you need to trade the BTTS pro. In the advanced section I will go through some